How to buy your first rental property – Step Four continued

Posted by neil on February 09, 2010
General

In this article we continue to examine the fourth step you MUST take in order to buy your first rental property.

You can review the first half of Part Four here.

After we ask the Property Specific Questions outlined in the first half of Step Four, we now have to examine the economic influences of the location that you have chosen to invest.

Area’s Economic Influences

There are 13 questions that you have to ask yourself about the Economic Fundamentals of your chosen area. The answers to these questions will be ‘yes’ or ‘no’. When answering these questions, pay close attention to how often the answer is ‘yes’. The more ‘yes’ answers you get, the better.

1) Is there an overall increase in demand in the area?

Do people want to move into this area, or are people moving our of this area? A simple question, that you must ask yourself.

2) Are there currently sales over list price in the area?

If there are sales over list price in the area, this is a very good sign that people want to actually live in this area. Not only that, it demonstrates that there is a demand for housing, and people with good incomes are moving into the area, because they are able to afford prices that are over list price.

3) Is there a noted increase in labour and materials cost in the area?

If there is an increase in labour and material cost in the area, this will have a direct impact on the prices of new homes. If the prices of new homes are rising in value, more often than not, the existing housing stock will be influenced upwards as well.

4) Is there a lot of speculative investment in the area?

Speculators often invest in areas where they feel that there is a future. They will never invest their money in a City or Town that is not performing well economically. Speculators try to make their money on huge upswing in markets. As a result, when there is a lot of speculative investment in an area, you know that there is a strong belief that there is going to be an upswing in the market in the not too distant future.

5) Is it an area in transition?

Is the area going from bad to good? In areas of transition, you often see significant increases in housing prices. What was once a decrepit neighbourhood riddled with prostitution and crime, on occasion can become a trendy, up and coming neighourhood full of higher income earners.

6) Is there a major transportation improvement occurring nearby?

Transportation improvements have a significant impact on real estate values. Whenever you have a new highway/freeway built, a new train station, or other form of transportation built, real estate values surrounding the transportation improvement increase. This is because the demand increases for housing in these areas. People want to live close by to major transportation channels. Living close by to transportation channels makes life easier for people, as they can use  these transportation channels to commute to and from work.

7) Is it an area that is going to benefit from the ripple effect?

Throw a stone into a pond and watch the ripples form around where the stone splashed.
If where the stone splashed represents where the transportation improvement occurred, the highest increases in real estate values will occur there.

As the ripples go out in the water, we can see the impact it has as the water is displaced. The ripple effect with real estate occurs in the same way. Housing values increase in a positive manner in surrounding areas, outside of the centre of the transportation improvement. These surrounding areas feel the ‘ripple’.

8 ) Is the property’s area in Real Estate Spring or Summer?

The Four Seasons of Real Estate are:

The Autumn – a time to harvest profits
Winter – a time to plan, study, and research
Spring – a time to buy
Summer – a time to manage.

9) Has the political leadership created a growth atmosphere?

The political leadership can really make or break a City or Town. If the leadership is forward thinking, they will do everything in their power in order to promote growth, and make the area attractive for investment.

10) Is the area’s average income increasing faster than the provincial average? (Canada)

If this is the case, this is a very good thing. This means that people with above average incomes are moving into this area. People with above average incomes are able to afford things, such as houses.

11) Is it an area that is attractive to baby boomers?

Baby Boomers have money to spend. If money is being spent in a local economy. The economy will continue to perform consistently, all things being equal.

12) Is the area growing faster than the provincial average? (Canada)

Again, this is a good thing because it shows that people want to live here. If the area was decreasing in population year over year, this would be a sign that people do not want to live there.

13) Are interest rates at historical lows and/or moving downwards?

Low interest rates can often times promote confidence with consumers. Low interest rates are also helpful for real estate investors looking to purchase more rental properties. With low rates, cash flow on rental properties has potential to be more robust, versus when interest rates are at a higher level.

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Article Reference: Don R. Campbell‘s Property Goldmine Score Card.

How to buy your first rental property – Step Three

How to buy your first rental property – Step Four (Part I)
Step Five – How to buy your first rental property

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2 Comments to How to buy your first rental property – Step Four continued

  • Hi Neil. I have a quick question/comment on the ‘The Four Seasons of Real Estate’

    What is the reasoning behind spring being a good time to buy, and fall being a good time to sell?

    My believe is that it should be the opposite:

    The Autumn – a time to buy
    Spring – a time to sell

    The reasoning is come spring time, people would start looking to buy a new house becuase:
    – Kids are/will be out of school soon
    – Easier to physically move in the summer
    – give time to settle into the new home prior to school starting up again.

    Autumn, is basically the opposite:
    – harder to move if kids are in school, and it’s more disruptive
    – who wants to move furniture in the winter time when it’s cold?

    What is the reasoning that

    • Hi Jason,

      A really good question.

      The ‘Four Seasons of Real Estate’ actually do not apply to the ‘Four Seasons of Mother Nature’

      You are correct with your comment. Spring (as according to Mother Nature) is a time where you will see a lot of new listing coming on the market, as many people want to sell their house at this time.

      The ‘Four Seasons of Real Estate’ apply to the economic cycle of real estate.

      For instance, during a recession, it can be a really great time to buy, as prices have dropped and most people are afraid to buy. This can create a good opportunity for investors.

      On the flip side, when the market is very hot, and multiple offers are being placed on homes, this tends to elevate the eventual sale price of homes, this would not be a good time to buy as an investor, because you do not want to overpay on any rental property that you buy.

      Jason, I hope this comment was helpful. If not, let me know.

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